Monday, December 26, 2005

The Iranian Question for 2006 and Beyond

The folks on the forums at put forward a challenge of a sort when they asked who would join the US in a coalition versus Iran. They also asked whether the US would aid Israel if Israel decided to strike at Iranian nuclear facilities.

First, I want to say that I am not a supporter of the concept of invading Iran. I calculate that regime change, similar to Iraq, would take a force of half-a-million personnel, cost $1 trillion, inflict 4,000 - 8,000 US dead and 30,000 - 50,000 wounded, and may take 3-7 years (which could be quite optimistic estimates).

No comments:

Post a Comment